A global survey of business leaders released on Tuesday shows that while most expect China to dominate the world economy in a decade’s time, it won’t be through innovation.

　　周二發布的一項在對全球商界領袖的調查顯示，大部分受訪者預計，中國將在未來10年引領世界經濟，但并非通過創新來實現這一點。

　　In fact, over a third of those surveyed by the Harvard Business Review thought China already was the global economic leader, but ranked the country only just ahead of Japan in terms of innovation, and way behind the US.

　　實際上，在《哈佛商業評論》(Harvard Business Review)進行的這項調查中，超過三分之一的受訪者認為中國已然是全球經濟的領導者。但在創新力排名上，中國僅勉強排在日本之前，遠遠落后于美國。

　　Adi Ignatius, editor of the HBR, commented that “half of the respondents expect China to surpass the US as the global economic leader in the next ten years. On the other hand, there’s debate among this group about whether China is capable of overtaking the US as the leading source of innovation as well. Most think not.”

　　《哈佛商業評論》主編阿迪?伊格內休斯(Adi Ignatius)評論道：“一半受訪者預計中國將在未來10年超過美國，成為全球經濟的領導者。至于中國是否同樣能夠取代美國成為最大的創新來源，這個問題還存在爭議。大部分受訪者持否定意見。”

　　Comments made by respondents also questioned whether China and India had the economic policies and internal structures to sustain their explosive economic growth.

　　受訪者還對中國和印度是否具備維持爆炸性經濟增長的經濟政策和內部結構提出了質疑。

　　While beyondbrics has a healthy scepticism of surveys, the HBR research did meet the criteria to be taken seriously (1,379 respondents, sensible questions) - and shows that the prevailing narrative of Chinese dominance is not universally shared.

　　盡管Beyondbrics對問卷調查持善意的懷疑態度，但《哈佛商業評論》的這項調查卻達到了相關標準（有1379名受訪者，問題選得合理），值得認真對待。這項調查還顯示出，時下盛行的中國優勢論并不被普遍接受。

　　Which country is the most innovative in the world?

　　哪個國家是全球最具創新力的國家？

　　US 46.3% 　　　美國 46.3%

　　China 10.4% 　　中國 10.4%

　　Japan 8.5% 　　日本 8.5%

　　India 6.0%　　　 印度 6.0%

　　Germany 4.4% 　德國 4.4%

　　South Korea 2.8% 　韓國 2.8%

　　Brazil 2.2% 　　巴西 2.2%

　　Singapore 2.1% 　　新加坡 2.1%

　　Israel 2.0% 　　以色列 2.0%

　　Switzerland 2.0% 　　瑞士 2.0%

　　source: HBR 　　來源: 《哈佛商業評論》

　　But the location of respondents – primarily based in North America (38.8 percent) and Europe (34.4 percent), with only ten percent in Asia – may explain why Asian innovation was given such a low score.

　　但受訪者的地理分布——主要來自于北美（38.8%）和歐洲（34.4%），亞洲只占10%——或許能夠解釋為什么亞洲的創新力獲得如此之低的評價。

　　More importantly, the high score for the US in innovation but its predicted fall from economic power shows that most business leaders don’t think the country can innovate its way out of debt.

　　更重要的是，盡管美國在創新方面獲得高分，但受訪者預計其經濟實力將會下降，這表明大部分商界領袖認為美國不可能靠創新擺脫債務。